Combat Edge Intelligence

Istela Nunes vs Juliana Lima

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-6-0Record10-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'5"
66"Reach65.50
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
Team NunesTeamGracie Barra BH

What's at stake

Juliana Lima is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Istela Nunes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Istela NunesNow 1501
If they win+17→ 1518
If they lose-15→ 1486
Juliana LimaNow 1524
If they win+15→ 1539
If they lose-17→ 1507

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.02
Sig. strikes / min
1.94
46%
Strike accuracy
44%
4.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.11
60%
Strike defense
56%
0
Takedown avg.
1.72
TBD
Takedown accuracy
31%
50%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Istela NunesJuliana Lima
1500155020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (67%)
Decision
8 (80%)

Combat Edge model read

Juliana Lima53%
Istela Nunes 47%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Juliana Lima a 53% favorite over Istela Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Juliana Lima holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1524 to 1501, a 23-point edge.

Istela Nunes enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Istela Nunes finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Juliana Lima 20%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.