Italo Diaz vs Marques Daniels
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-2-0Record5-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight5'8"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
TeamTeam R.O.C.
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1476
If they lose-24→ 1428
If they win+16→ 1471
If they lose-16→ 1439
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Italo DiazMarques Daniels
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Italo Diaz58%
Marques Daniels 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Italo Diaz a 58% favorite over Marques Daniels in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marques Daniels's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1452 vs 1455), separated by just 3 points.
Italo Diaz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marques Daniels enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Marques Daniels 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.