Combat Edge Intelligence

Iuri Alcantara vs Jimmie Rivera

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

35-11-0Record23-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'4"
71,0"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Marajo Brothers TeamTeamTeam Tiger Schulmann

What's at stake

Jimmie Rivera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Iuri Alcantara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Iuri AlcantaraNow 1698
If they win+14→ 1712
If they lose-10→ 1688
Jimmie RiveraNow 1758
If they win+10→ 1768
If they lose-14→ 1744

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1739 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.72
Sig. strikes / min
4.03
46%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.90
49%
Strike defense
60%
1.44
Takedown avg.
0.88
63%
Takedown accuracy
28%
60%
Takedown defense
93%
0.84
Submission avg.
0.11

Trajectory

Iuri AlcantaraJimmie Rivera
1700175018002019202020212022

Win method breakdown

14 (40%)
KO/TKO
4 (17%)
14 (40%)
Submission
2 (9%)
7 (20%)
Decision
17 (74%)

Combat Edge model read

Jimmie Rivera83%
Iuri Alcantara 17%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Jimmie Rivera a 83% favorite over Iuri Alcantara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Jimmie Rivera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1698, a 60-point edge.

Iuri Alcantara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Iuri Alcantara finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Jimmie Rivera 26%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.