Iuri Alcantara vs Joe Soto
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
35-11-0Record18-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
71,0"Reach65,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Marajo Brothers TeamTeamCentral Valley Combat Academy
What's at stake
Iuri Alcantara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Joe Soto carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1709
If they lose-13→ 1685
If they win+13→ 1677
If they lose-11→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Iuri AlcantaraJoe Soto
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Soto58%
Iuri Alcantara 42%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Soto a 58% favorite over Iuri Alcantara in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Iuri Alcantara's way (45%).
Iuri Alcantara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1664, a 34-point edge.
Iuri Alcantara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Soto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Iuri Alcantara finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Joe Soto 83%.
Iuri Alcantara carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.