Iuri Alcantara vs Pedro Nobre
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
35-11-0Record22-7-2
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'5"
71,0"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Marajo Brothers TeamTeamBrazilian Top Team· 1657 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Iuri Alcantara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Pedro Nobre carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1682
If they win+16→ 1589
If they lose-8→ 1565
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Iuri AlcantaraPedro Nobre
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Iuri Alcantara63%
Pedro Nobre 37%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Iuri Alcantara a 63% favorite over Pedro Nobre in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Iuri Alcantara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1573, a 125-point edge.
Iuri Alcantara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Pedro Nobre enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Iuri Alcantara finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Nobre 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.