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Combat Edge Intelligence

Iuri Alcantara vs Pedro Nobre

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

35-11-0Record22-7-2
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'5"
71,0"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Marajo Brothers TeamTeamBrazilian Top Team· 1661 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Iuri Alcantara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Pedro Nobre carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Iuri AlcantaraNow 1695
If they win+8→ 1703
If they lose-16→ 1679
Pedro NobreNow 1581
If they win+16→ 1597
If they lose-8→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.72
Sig. strikes / min
1.37
46%
Strike accuracy
30%
2.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
9.16
49%
Strike defense
35%
1.44
Takedown avg.
0
63%
Takedown accuracy
0%
60%
Takedown defense
0%
0.84
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Iuri AlcantaraPedro Nobre
160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

14 (40%)
KO/TKO
12 (55%)
14 (40%)
Submission
6 (27%)
7 (20%)
Decision
4 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Iuri Alcantara66%
Pedro Nobre 34%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Iuri Alcantara a 66% favorite over Pedro Nobre in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Iuri Alcantara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1695 to 1581, a 114-point edge.

Iuri Alcantara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Pedro Nobre enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Iuri Alcantara finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Nobre 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.