Combat Edge Intelligence

Iuri Alcantara vs Russell Doane

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

35-11-0Record17-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
71,0"Reach70,5"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Marajo Brothers TeamTeamHawaii Elite MMA

What's at stake

Iuri Alcantara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Russell Doane carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Iuri AlcantaraNow 1698
If they win+10→ 1708
If they lose-14→ 1684
Russell DoaneNow 1654
If they win+14→ 1668
If they lose-10→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.72
Sig. strikes / min
1.75
46%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.68
49%
Strike defense
54%
1.44
Takedown avg.
2.11
63%
Takedown accuracy
46%
60%
Takedown defense
53%
0.84
Submission avg.
0.77

Win method breakdown

14 (40%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
14 (40%)
Submission
6 (35%)
7 (20%)
Decision
4 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Iuri Alcantara and Russell Doane within a point of even.

Iuri Alcantara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1654, a 44-point edge.

Iuri Alcantara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Russell Doane enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Iuri Alcantara finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Russell Doane 76%.

Iuri Alcantara and Russell Doane share 1 common opponent: Leandro Issa.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDEC · 2015
Leandro Issa
WinSubmission · 2014