Combat Edge Intelligence

Iuri Alcantara vs Vaughan Lee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

35-11-0Record14-14-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'5"
71,0"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Marajo Brothers TeamTeamUTC Birmingham

What's at stake

Iuri Alcantara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Vaughan Lee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Iuri AlcantaraNow 1698
If they win+6→ 1704
If they lose-18→ 1680
Vaughan LeeNow 1507
If they win+18→ 1525
If they lose-6→ 1501

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.72
Sig. strikes / min
3.47
46%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.07
49%
Strike defense
70%
1.44
Takedown avg.
0.81
63%
Takedown accuracy
33%
60%
Takedown defense
72%
0.84
Submission avg.
1.01

Trajectory

Iuri AlcantaraVaughan Lee
150015501600165017002016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

14 (40%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
14 (40%)
Submission
7 (50%)
7 (20%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Iuri Alcantara78%
Vaughan Lee 22%Elo baseline: 75%

The Combat Edge model makes Iuri Alcantara a 78% favorite over Vaughan Lee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).

Iuri Alcantara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1507, a 191-point edge.

Iuri Alcantara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Vaughan Lee enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Iuri Alcantara finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Vaughan Lee 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.