Combat Edge Intelligence

Iuri Alcantara vs Wilson Reis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

35-11-0Record28-14-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'4"
71,0"Reach65,0"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Marajo Brothers TeamTeamBrazilian Jiu-Jitsu United

What's at stake

Iuri Alcantara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Wilson Reis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Iuri AlcantaraNow 1698
If they win+10→ 1708
If they lose-14→ 1684
Wilson ReisNow 1652
If they win+14→ 1666
If they lose-10→ 1642

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.72
Sig. strikes / min
1.83
46%
Strike accuracy
30%
2.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
49%
Strike defense
56%
1.44
Takedown avg.
5.15
63%
Takedown accuracy
43%
60%
Takedown defense
47%
0.84
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Iuri AlcantaraWilson Reis
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

14 (40%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
14 (40%)
Submission
13 (46%)
7 (20%)
Decision
15 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Iuri Alcantara56%
Wilson Reis 44%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Iuri Alcantara a 56% favorite over Wilson Reis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Iuri Alcantara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1652, a 46-point edge.

Iuri Alcantara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Wilson Reis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Iuri Alcantara finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Reis 46%.

Iuri Alcantara carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.