Ivan Cuayla vs Tsukasa Mizoguchi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-1-0Record4-0-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Arequipa Combat ClubTeamFreelance· 1565 avg Elo · 10 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ivan CuaylaTsukasa Mizoguchi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ivan Cuayla61%
Tsukasa Mizoguchi 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ivan Cuayla a 61% favorite over Tsukasa Mizoguchi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1593), separated by just 0 points.
Tsukasa Mizoguchi enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Ivan Cuayla finishes 20% of wins inside the distance, Tsukasa Mizoguchi 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.