Combat Edge Intelligence

Ivan Erslan vs Ruslan Nazhmudinov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record10-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
72"Reach-
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top Team ZagrebTeamSpitfire Gym Berlin

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ivan ErslanNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
Ruslan NazhmudinovNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.55
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
0.45
Takedown avg.
TBD
20%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
62%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ivan ErslanRuslan Nazhmudinov
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (67%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
1 (7%)
Submission
1 (11%)
4 (27%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Ruslan Nazhmudinov60%
Ivan Erslan 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ruslan Nazhmudinov a 60% favorite over Ivan Erslan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ivan Erslan's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1601), separated by just 3 points.

Ivan Erslan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Ruslan Nazhmudinov 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.