Ivan Jorge vs Joe Duffy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
27-8-0Record16-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach73.00
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team TavaresTeamThe MMA Clinic
What's at stake
Joe Duffy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Ivan Jorge carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+28→ 1545
If they lose-20→ 1497
If they win+13→ 1590
If they lose-19→ 1558
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1609 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ivan JorgeJoe Duffy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Duffy59%
Ivan Jorge 41%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Duffy a 59% favorite over Ivan Jorge in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Joe Duffy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1577 to 1517, a 60-point edge.
Ivan Jorge enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Duffy enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ivan Jorge finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Joe Duffy 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.