Ivan Jorge vs Joe Duffy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-8-0Record16-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach73.00
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team TavaresTeamThe MMA Clinic
What's at stake
Joe Duffy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Ivan Jorge carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1542
If they lose-21→ 1494
If they win+21→ 1584
If they lose-27→ 1536
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1606 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ivan JorgeJoe Duffy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Duffy67%
Ivan Jorge 33%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Duffy a 67% favorite over Ivan Jorge in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Joe Duffy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1563 to 1515, a 48-point edge.
Ivan Jorge enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Duffy enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ivan Jorge finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Joe Duffy 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.