Ivan Jorge vs Josh Shockley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-8-0Record11-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team TavaresTeamDuneland Vale Tudo
What's at stake
Josh Shockley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Ivan Jorge carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+30→ 1545
If they lose-18→ 1497
If they win+12→ 1618
If they lose-20→ 1586
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1606 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ivan JorgeJosh Shockley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Shockley73%
Ivan Jorge 27%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Shockley a 73% favorite over Ivan Jorge in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Josh Shockley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1606 to 1515, a 91-point edge.
Ivan Jorge enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josh Shockley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ivan Jorge finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Josh Shockley 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.