Ivan Jorge vs Keith Wisniewski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-8-0Record28-15-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team TavaresTeamDuneland Vale Tudo
What's at stake
Keith Wisniewski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ivan Jorge carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+30→ 1545
If they lose-18→ 1497
If they win+9→ 1615
If they lose-15→ 1591
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1606 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ivan JorgeKeith Wisniewski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Keith Wisniewski56%
Ivan Jorge 44%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Keith Wisniewski a 56% favorite over Ivan Jorge in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Keith Wisniewski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1606 to 1515, a 91-point edge.
Ivan Jorge enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Keith Wisniewski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ivan Jorge finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Keith Wisniewski 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.