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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ivan Menjivar vs Nick Pace

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ivan Menjivar
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Ivan Menjivar

“Pride of El Salvador”

25-12-0BantamweightUFC

1646Solid

Tale of the tape

25-12-0Record8-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Tristar GymTeamTeam Tiger Schulmann

What's at stake

Ivan Menjivar is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Nick Pace carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ivan MenjivarNow 1646
If they win+10→ 1656
If they lose-14→ 1632
Nick PaceNow 1591
If they win+19→ 1610
If they lose-13→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.78
Sig. strikes / min
1.48
38%
Strike accuracy
34%
2.76
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.14
66%
Strike defense
58%
0.56
Takedown avg.
2.52
29%
Takedown accuracy
43%
39%
Takedown defense
55%
0.98
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Ivan MenjivarNick Pace
160016501700201220132014201520162017

Win method breakdown

9 (36%)
KO/TKO
1 (13%)
10 (40%)
Submission
5 (63%)
6 (24%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Ivan Menjivar68%
Nick Pace 32%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Ivan Menjivar a 68% favorite over Nick Pace in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Ivan Menjivar holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1591, a 55-point edge.

Ivan Menjivar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Nick Pace enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ivan Menjivar finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Nick Pace 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.