Combat Edge Intelligence

Ivan Menjivar vs Urijah Faber

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ivan Menjivar
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Ivan Menjivar

“Pride of El Salvador”

25-12-0BantamweightUFC

1646Solid
Urijah Faber
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Urijah Faber

“The California Kid”

35-11-0BantamweightUFC

1777Great

Tale of the tape

25-12-0Record35-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Tristar GymTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

Urijah Faber is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Ivan Menjivar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ivan MenjivarNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-8→ 1638
Urijah FaberNow 1777
If they win+8→ 1785
If they lose-16→ 1761

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.78
Sig. strikes / min
2.65
38%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.76
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.59
66%
Strike defense
64%
0.56
Takedown avg.
1.54
29%
Takedown accuracy
30%
39%
Takedown defense
58%
0.98
Submission avg.
0.85

Trajectory

Ivan MenjivarUrijah Faber
165017001750180020122013201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

9 (36%)
KO/TKO
10 (29%)
10 (40%)
Submission
17 (50%)
6 (24%)
Decision
7 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Urijah Faber72%
Ivan Menjivar 28%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Urijah Faber a 72% favorite over Ivan Menjivar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Urijah Faber holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1777 to 1646, a 131-point edge.

Ivan Menjivar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ivan Menjivar finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Urijah Faber 79%.

Ivan Menjivar and Urijah Faber share 1 common opponent: Brad Pickett.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

Loss Decision · 2010
Brad Pickett
WinDEC · 2016