Combat Edge Intelligence

Ivan Salaverry vs Joe Riggs

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Riggs
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Joe Riggs

“Diesel”

49-18-1WelterweightROC

1704Good

Tale of the tape

14-9-0Record49-18-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach37,0"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Ivan Salaverry MMATeamSoul Fighters

What's at stake

Joe Riggs is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Ivan Salaverry carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ivan SalaverryNow 1639
If they win+14→ 1653
If they lose-10→ 1629
Joe RiggsNow 1704
If they win+10→ 1714
If they lose-14→ 1690

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.24
Sig. strikes / min
2.41
48%
Strike accuracy
51%
1.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.69
77%
Strike defense
57%
0.58
Takedown avg.
2.45
20%
Takedown accuracy
55%
37%
Takedown defense
63%
2.92
Submission avg.
0.58

Trajectory

Ivan SalaverryJoe Riggs
1650170020122013201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

5 (36%)
KO/TKO
37 (77%)
5 (36%)
Submission
7 (15%)
4 (29%)
Decision
4 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Riggs80%
Ivan Salaverry 20%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Riggs a 80% favorite over Ivan Salaverry in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Joe Riggs holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1639, a 65-point edge.

Joe Riggs enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ivan Salaverry finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Joe Riggs 92%.

Ivan Salaverry and Joe Riggs share 1 common opponent: Jerome Jones.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

Win Decision · 2013
Jerome Jones
Win Punches · 2017