Combat Edge Intelligence

Ivan Salaverry vs Marc-André Barriault

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-9-0Record17-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Ivan Salaverry MMATeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ivan SalaverryNow 1639
If they win+12→ 1651
If they lose-12→ 1627
Marc-André BarriaultNow 1638
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.24
Sig. strikes / min
5.70
48%
Strike accuracy
48%
1.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.63
77%
Strike defense
51%
0.58
Takedown avg.
0.37
20%
Takedown accuracy
29%
37%
Takedown defense
68%
2.92
Submission avg.
0.09

Trajectory

Ivan SalaverryMarc-André Barriault
16501700201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (36%)
KO/TKO
11 (65%)
5 (36%)
Submission
1 (6%)
4 (29%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Marc-André Barriault67%
Ivan Salaverry 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marc-André Barriault a 67% favorite over Ivan Salaverry in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ivan Salaverry's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1638), separated by just 1 points.

Marc-André Barriault enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ivan Salaverry finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Marc-André Barriault 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.