Combat Edge Intelligence

Ivan Salaverry vs Matt Lindland

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-9-0Record22-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Ivan Salaverry MMATeamTeam Quest

What's at stake

Matt Lindland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ivan Salaverry carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ivan SalaverryNow 1639
If they win+15→ 1654
If they lose-9→ 1630
Matt LindlandNow 1729
If they win+9→ 1738
If they lose-15→ 1714

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.24
Sig. strikes / min
2.46
48%
Strike accuracy
52%
1.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.27
77%
Strike defense
52%
0.58
Takedown avg.
3.46
20%
Takedown accuracy
50%
37%
Takedown defense
61%
2.92
Submission avg.
1.15

Trajectory

Ivan SalaverryMatt Lindland
1650170017502010201120122013

Win method breakdown

5 (36%)
KO/TKO
9 (43%)
5 (36%)
Submission
6 (29%)
4 (29%)
Decision
6 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Matt Lindland78%
Ivan Salaverry 22%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Matt Lindland a 78% favorite over Ivan Salaverry in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Matt Lindland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1729 to 1639, a 90-point edge.

Ivan Salaverry finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Matt Lindland 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.