Combat Edge Intelligence

Ivan Salaverry vs Nate Marquardt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-9-0Record36-20-2
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach42,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Ivan Salaverry MMATeamHigh Altitude Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ivan SalaverryNow 1639
If they win+12→ 1651
If they lose-12→ 1627
Nate MarquardtNow 1651
If they win+12→ 1663
If they lose-12→ 1639

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.24
Sig. strikes / min
2.71
48%
Strike accuracy
49%
1.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.32
77%
Strike defense
56%
0.58
Takedown avg.
1.87
20%
Takedown accuracy
51%
37%
Takedown defense
71%
2.92
Submission avg.
0.85

Trajectory

Ivan SalaverryNate Marquardt
16502012201320142015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

5 (36%)
KO/TKO
13 (36%)
5 (36%)
Submission
15 (42%)
4 (29%)
Decision
8 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Nate Marquardt58%
Ivan Salaverry 42%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Nate Marquardt a 58% favorite over Ivan Salaverry in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1651), separated by just 12 points.

Ivan Salaverry finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Nate Marquardt 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.