Ivan Salaverry vs Rousimar Palhares
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-9-0Record19-13-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Ivan Salaverry MMATeamTeam Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Ivan Salaverry is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Rousimar Palhares carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1648
If they lose-15→ 1624
If they win+15→ 1559
If they lose-9→ 1535
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ivan SalaverryRousimar Palhares
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ivan Salaverry54%
Rousimar Palhares 46%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Ivan Salaverry a 54% favorite over Rousimar Palhares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Ivan Salaverry holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1639 to 1544, a 95-point edge.
Rousimar Palhares enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Ivan Salaverry finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Rousimar Palhares 84%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.