Ivan Serati vs Vinicius Moreira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record12-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
TBDReachTBD
225 lbsWeight205 lbs
Sure Grip Vale TudoTeamFive Rounds
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ivan SeratiVinicius Moreira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vinicius Moreira61%
Ivan Serati 39%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Vinicius Moreira a 61% favorite over Ivan Serati in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ivan Serati's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1566), separated by just 4 points.
Ivan Serati finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Vinicius Moreira 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.