Ivan Shtyrkov vs Josh Barnett
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-2-1Record35-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReach78,0"
237 lbsWeight248 lbs
Archangel Michael Club· 1764 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamUWF USA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1795
If they lose-12→ 1771
If they win+12→ 1789
If they lose-12→ 1765
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ivan ShtyrkovJosh Barnett
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ivan Shtyrkov72%
Josh Barnett 28%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Ivan Shtyrkov a 72% favorite over Josh Barnett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1783 vs 1777), separated by just 6 points.
Ivan Shtyrkov finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Josh Barnett 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.