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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ivan Shtyrkov vs Phil De Fries

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

23-2-1Record29-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'4"
TBDReach79"
237 lbsWeight264 lbs
Archangel Michael Club· 1771 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAlliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ivan ShtyrkovNow 1790
If they win+12→ 1802
If they lose-12→ 1778
Phil De FriesNow 1802
If they win+12→ 1814
If they lose-12→ 1790

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.30
Not available
Strike accuracy
47%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
Not available
Strike defense
38%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3.29
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
100%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Ivan ShtyrkovPhil De Fries
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (48%)
KO/TKO
8 (28%)
5 (22%)
Submission
16 (55%)
7 (30%)
Decision
5 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Phil De Fries52%
Ivan Shtyrkov 48%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Phil De Fries a 52% favorite over Ivan Shtyrkov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1790 vs 1802), separated by just 12 points.

Phil De Fries enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Ivan Shtyrkov finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Phil De Fries 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.