Combat Edge Intelligence

Ivan Shtyrkov vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-2-1Record17-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'4"
TBDReach78"
237 lbsWeight262 lbs
Archangel Michael ClubTeamUltimate Kombat Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ivan ShtyrkovNow 1792
If they win+12→ 1804
If they lose-12→ 1780
Waldo Cortes-AcostaNow 1779
If they win+17→ 1796
If they lose-15→ 1764

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1714 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
5.54
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.38
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.44
TBD
Takedown accuracy
57%
TBD
Takedown defense
73%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.11

Trajectory

Ivan ShtyrkovWaldo Cortes-Acosta
17001750180020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (48%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
5 (22%)
Submission
1 (6%)
7 (30%)
Decision
7 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Waldo Cortes-Acosta66%
Ivan Shtyrkov 34%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Waldo Cortes-Acosta a 66% favorite over Ivan Shtyrkov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ivan Shtyrkov's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1792 vs 1779), separated by just 13 points.

Ivan Shtyrkov enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Ivan Shtyrkov finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.