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Combat Edge Intelligence

Iwan Tagner vs Kevin Burns

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Kevin Burns
us

Kevin Burns

“The Fire”

12-7-0WelterweightVFC

1580Solid

Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record12-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
73.2"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
UFD GymTeamGrudge Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Iwan TagnerNow 1580
If they win+24→ 1604
If they lose-24→ 1556
Kevin BurnsNow 1580
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.74
Not available
Strike accuracy
39%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.30
Not available
Strike defense
53%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.28
Not available
Takedown accuracy
50%
Not available
Takedown defense
48%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.85

Trajectory

Iwan TagnerKevin Burns
155016002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
2 (100%)
Submission
8 (67%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Iwan Tagner and Kevin Burns within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1580), separated by just 0 points.

Iwan Tagner enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Kevin Burns 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.