Combat Edge Intelligence

Iwan Tagner vs Takenori Sato

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record20-12-7
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
73.2"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight160 lbs
UFD GymTeamBattle Box

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Iwan TagnerNow 1580
If they win+24→ 1604
If they lose-24→ 1556
Takenori SatoNow 1581
If they win+12→ 1593
If they lose-12→ 1569

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.46
TBD
Strike accuracy
33%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
12.92
TBD
Strike defense
10%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Iwan TagnerTakenori Sato
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (15%)
2 (100%)
Submission
8 (40%)
0 (0%)
Decision
9 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Iwan Tagner60%
Takenori Sato 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Iwan Tagner a 60% favorite over Takenori Sato in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Takenori Sato's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1581), separated by just 1 points.

Iwan Tagner enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Takenori Sato 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.