Iwo Baraniewski vs Jake O'Brien
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record15-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
73"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Aligatores Fight ClubTeamIntegrated Fighting Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Iwo BaraniewskiJake O'Brien
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Iwo Baraniewski58%
Jake O'Brien 42%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Iwo Baraniewski a 58% favorite over Jake O'Brien in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1696 vs 1692), separated by just 4 points.
Jake O'Brien enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Iwo Baraniewski finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jake O'Brien 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.