Combat Edge Intelligence

Iwo Baraniewski vs Muhammad Saidov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-0-0Record10-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
73"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Aligatores Fight ClubTeamGOR MMA· 1738 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Iwo BaraniewskiNow 1716
If they win+24→ 1740
If they lose-24→ 1692
Muhammad SaidovNow 1712
If they win+16→ 1728
If they lose-16→ 1696

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

11.35
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
58%
Strike accuracy
TBD
8.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Iwo BaraniewskiMuhammad Saidov
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
7 (70%)
2 (22%)
Submission
2 (20%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Iwo Baraniewski57%
Muhammad Saidov 43%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Iwo Baraniewski a 57% favorite over Muhammad Saidov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1716 vs 1712), separated by just 4 points.

Iwo Baraniewski enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Muhammad Saidov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Iwo Baraniewski finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Saidov 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.