Iwo Baraniewski vs Ricardo Arona
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record14-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height5'11"
73"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight200 lbs
Aligatores Fight ClubTeamBrazilian Top Team· 1660 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1655 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Iwo BaraniewskiRicardo Arona
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Iwo Baraniewski and Ricardo Arona within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1696 vs 1697), separated by just 1 points.
Iwo Baraniewski finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Arona 36%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.