Iwo Baraniewski vs Volkan Oezdemir
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-0-0Record21-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'1"
73"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Aligatores Fight ClubTeamFight Move Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1736
If they lose-23→ 1688
If they win+16→ 1735
If they lose-16→ 1703
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Iwo BaraniewskiVolkan Oezdemir
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Iwo Baraniewski60%
Volkan Oezdemir 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Iwo Baraniewski a 60% favorite over Volkan Oezdemir in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Volkan Oezdemir's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1711 vs 1719), separated by just 8 points.
Iwo Baraniewski enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Iwo Baraniewski finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Volkan Oezdemir 76%.
Volkan Oezdemir carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.