Jéssica Andrade vs Lauren Murphy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-15-0Record16-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'2"Height5'7"
62"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Parana Vale Tudo· 1663 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamGracie Barra Katy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1673
If they lose-12→ 1649
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jéssica AndradeLauren Murphy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jéssica Andrade52%
Lauren Murphy 48%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Jéssica Andrade a 52% favorite over Lauren Murphy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1652), separated by just 9 points.
Jéssica Andrade enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Lauren Murphy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jéssica Andrade finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Lauren Murphy 56%.
Lauren Murphy carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.