Combat Edge Intelligence

Jéssica Andrade vs Liz Carmouche

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-15-0Record26-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'2"Height5'6"
62"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Parana Vale TudoTeamThe Arena

What's at stake

Liz Carmouche is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jéssica Andrade carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jéssica AndradeNow 1661
If they win+15→ 1676
If they lose-9→ 1652
Liz CarmoucheNow 1744
If they win+9→ 1753
If they lose-15→ 1729

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.39
Sig. strikes / min
2.78
50%
Strike accuracy
54%
5.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.51
54%
Strike defense
62%
2.21
Takedown avg.
2.57
55%
Takedown accuracy
52%
72%
Takedown defense
66%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Jéssica AndradeLiz Carmouche
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (38%)
KO/TKO
11 (42%)
8 (31%)
Submission
7 (27%)
8 (31%)
Decision
8 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Liz Carmouche83%
Jéssica Andrade 17%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Liz Carmouche a 83% favorite over Jéssica Andrade in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Liz Carmouche holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1744 to 1661, a 83-point edge.

Jéssica Andrade enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Liz Carmouche enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Jéssica Andrade finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Liz Carmouche 69%.

Liz Carmouche carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.