Jéssica Andrade vs Marion Reneau
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-15-0Record9-8-1
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'2"Height5'6"
62"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Parana Vale TudoTeamElite Team
What's at stake
Jéssica Andrade is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Marion Reneau carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1670
If they lose-15→ 1646
If they win+20→ 1589
If they lose-12→ 1557
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jéssica AndradeMarion Reneau
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jéssica Andrade78%
Marion Reneau 22%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Jéssica Andrade a 78% favorite over Marion Reneau in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Jéssica Andrade holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1661 to 1569, a 92-point edge.
Jéssica Andrade enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Marion Reneau enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Jéssica Andrade finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Marion Reneau 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.