Combat Edge Intelligence

Jéssica Andrade vs Raquel Pennington

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-15-0Record16-9-0
FlyweightDivisionWomen's Bantamweight
5'2"Height5'7"
62"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Parana Vale TudoTeamAltitude MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jéssica AndradeNow 1661
If they win+12→ 1673
If they lose-12→ 1649
Raquel PenningtonNow 1675
If they win+15→ 1690
If they lose-17→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.39
Sig. strikes / min
4.10
50%
Strike accuracy
49%
5.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.32
54%
Strike defense
61%
2.21
Takedown avg.
0.83
55%
Takedown accuracy
28%
72%
Takedown defense
63%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

Jéssica AndradeRaquel Pennington
1650170017502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (38%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
8 (31%)
Submission
4 (25%)
8 (31%)
Decision
11 (69%)

Combat Edge model read

Raquel Pennington60%
Jéssica Andrade 40%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Raquel Pennington a 60% favorite over Jéssica Andrade in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1675), separated by just 14 points.

Jéssica Andrade enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jéssica Andrade finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Raquel Pennington 31%.

Raquel Pennington carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.