Combat Edge Intelligence

Jéssica Andrade vs Tecia Pennington

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-15-0Record15-8-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'1"
62"Reach60″
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
Parana Vale TudoTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jéssica AndradeNow 1661
If they win+12→ 1673
If they lose-12→ 1649
Tecia PenningtonNow 1658
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.39
Sig. strikes / min
4.78
50%
Strike accuracy
48%
5.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.48
54%
Strike defense
62%
2.21
Takedown avg.
0.54
55%
Takedown accuracy
14%
72%
Takedown defense
62%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.06

Trajectory

Jéssica AndradeTecia Pennington
16501700175020242025

Win method breakdown

10 (38%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
8 (31%)
Submission
1 (7%)
8 (31%)
Decision
13 (87%)

Combat Edge model read

Tecia Pennington60%
Jéssica Andrade 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tecia Pennington a 60% favorite over Jéssica Andrade in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jéssica Andrade's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1658), separated by just 3 points.

Jéssica Andrade enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jéssica Andrade finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Tecia Pennington 13%.

Jéssica Andrade and Tecia Pennington share 2 common opponents: Marina Rodriguez and Mackenzie Dern.

Jéssica Andrade carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinKO/TKO · 2023
Mackenzie Dern
LossDecision (split) · 2022
WinDecision - Split · 2024
Marina Rodriguez
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2019