Combat Edge Intelligence

Jéssica Andrade vs Tina Black

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tina Black
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Tina Black

“Tina Black / Valesca Machado”

15-4-0StrawweightUFC

1660Good

Tale of the tape

26-15-0Record15-4-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'4"
62"Reach63"
125 lbsWeight116 lbs
Parana Vale Tudo· 1660 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamMSP

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jéssica AndradeNow 1661
If they win+12→ 1673
If they lose-12→ 1649
Tina BlackNow 1660
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.39
Sig. strikes / min
2.40
50%
Strike accuracy
33%
5.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.87
54%
Strike defense
64%
2.21
Takedown avg.
0
55%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
72%
Takedown defense
77%
0.33
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jéssica AndradeTina Black
1600165017001750202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (38%)
KO/TKO
5 (33%)
8 (31%)
Submission
1 (7%)
8 (31%)
Decision
9 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Jéssica Andrade75%
Tina Black 25%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jéssica Andrade a 75% favorite over Tina Black in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1660), separated by just 1 points.

Jéssica Andrade enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Tina Black enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Jéssica Andrade finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Tina Black 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.