Combat Edge Intelligence

J.C. Cottrell vs Michel Prazeres

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-5-0Record27-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'6"
40.00ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight171 lbs
Academy of Martial ArtsTeamCoalizao Fight Team

What's at stake

Michel Prazeres is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — J.C. Cottrell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

J.C. CottrellNow 1478
If they win+40→ 1518
If they lose-8→ 1470
Michel PrazeresNow 1755
If they win+4→ 1759
If they lose-20→ 1735

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1706 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.79
Sig. strikes / min
2.38
25%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.51
45%
Strike defense
58%
0.79
Takedown avg.
3.94
100%
Takedown accuracy
36%
50%
Takedown defense
48%
0
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

J.C. CottrellMichel Prazeres
150016001700180020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (12%)
KO/TKO
1 (4%)
11 (65%)
Submission
11 (41%)
4 (24%)
Decision
15 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Michel Prazeres64%
J.C. Cottrell 36%Elo baseline: 83%

The Combat Edge model makes Michel Prazeres a 64% favorite over J.C. Cottrell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (83%).

Michel Prazeres holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1478, a 277-point edge.

J.C. Cottrell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Michel Prazeres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

J.C. Cottrell finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Michel Prazeres 44%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.