J.C. Cottrell vs Ricardo Arreola
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-5-0Record10-13-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'6"
40.00Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1502
If they lose-24→ 1454
If they win+16→ 1493
If they lose-16→ 1461
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1706 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
J.C. CottrellRicardo Arreola
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
J.C. Cottrell68%
Ricardo Arreola 32%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes J.C. Cottrell a 68% favorite over Ricardo Arreola in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1478 vs 1477), separated by just 1 points.
J.C. Cottrell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ricardo Arreola enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
J.C. Cottrell finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Arreola 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.