J.P. Saint Louis vs Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record11-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
176 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fusion X-Cel Performance· 1623 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamWinnipeg Academy of MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
J.P. Saint LouisMariusz Ksiazkiewicz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz63%
J.P. Saint Louis 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz a 63% favorite over J.P. Saint Louis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1615), separated by just 2 points.
J.P. Saint Louis enters on a 5-fight win streak.
J.P. Saint Louis finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz 91%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.