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Combat Edge Intelligence

J.T. Taylor vs Stephen Costello

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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J.T. Taylor
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J.T. Taylor

“The Outlaw”

7-7-1WelterweightUCS

1534Average

Tale of the tape

7-7-1Record6-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Desert DogsTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

J.T. TaylorNow 1534
If they win+16→ 1550
If they lose-16→ 1518
Stephen CostelloNow 1538
If they win+16→ 1554
If they lose-16→ 1522

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

J.T. TaylorStephen Costello
15001550160020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
4 (57%)
Submission
2 (33%)
2 (29%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Stephen Costello59%
J.T. Taylor 41%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Stephen Costello a 59% favorite over J.T. Taylor in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1534 vs 1538), separated by just 4 points.

J.T. Taylor finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Stephen Costello 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.