Combat Edge Intelligence

J.T. Taylor vs Stephen Costello

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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J.T. Taylor
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J.T. Taylor

“The Outlaw”

7-7-1WelterweightUCS

1534Average

Tale of the tape

7-7-1Record6-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Desert DogsTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

J.T. TaylorNow 1534
If they win+16→ 1550
If they lose-16→ 1518
Stephen CostelloNow 1534
If they win+16→ 1550
If they lose-16→ 1518

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

J.T. TaylorStephen Costello
15001550160020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
4 (57%)
Submission
2 (33%)
2 (29%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Stephen Costello71%
J.T. Taylor 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Stephen Costello a 71% favorite over J.T. Taylor in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans J.T. Taylor's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1534 vs 1534), separated by just 0 points.

J.T. Taylor finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Stephen Costello 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.