Combat Edge Intelligence

Jack Cartwright vs Marcus McGhee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-2-0Record11-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
69"Reach69"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team ColosseumTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jack CartwrightNow 1704
If they win+16→ 1720
If they lose-16→ 1688
Marcus McGheeNow 1704
If they win+16→ 1720
If they lose-16→ 1688

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.80
Sig. strikes / min
5.50
39%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.64
30%
Strike defense
58%
6
Takedown avg.
0.31
0%
Takedown accuracy
14%
0%
Takedown defense
90%
2
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Jack CartwrightMarcus McGhee
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (23%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
6 (46%)
Submission
1 (9%)
4 (31%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Jack Cartwright60%
Marcus McGhee 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jack Cartwright a 60% favorite over Marcus McGhee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1704), separated by just 0 points.

Jack Cartwright enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Jack Cartwright finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Marcus McGhee 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.