Combat Edge Intelligence

Jack Cartwright vs Thomas Almeida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-2-0Record22-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
69"ReachTBD
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team ColosseumTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jack CartwrightNow 1704
If they win+16→ 1720
If they lose-16→ 1688
Thomas AlmeidaNow 1701
If they win+12→ 1713
If they lose-12→ 1689

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.80
Sig. strikes / min
4.84
39%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.93
30%
Strike defense
62%
6
Takedown avg.
0.17
0%
Takedown accuracy
14%
0%
Takedown defense
76%
2
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jack CartwrightThomas Almeida
16501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (23%)
KO/TKO
17 (77%)
6 (46%)
Submission
4 (18%)
4 (31%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Jack Cartwright70%
Thomas Almeida 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jack Cartwright a 70% favorite over Thomas Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1701), separated by just 3 points.

Jack Cartwright enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Thomas Almeida enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Jack Cartwright finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Almeida 95%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.