Jack Cartwright vs Timur Valiev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record19-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'6"
69"Reach67"
136 lbsWeight138 lbs
Team ColosseumTeamDagFighter· 1713 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1720
If they lose-16→ 1688
If they win+16→ 1724
If they lose-16→ 1692
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jack CartwrightTimur Valiev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jack Cartwright70%
Timur Valiev 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Jack Cartwright a 70% favorite over Timur Valiev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Timur Valiev's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1708), separated by just 4 points.
Jack Cartwright enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jack Cartwright finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Timur Valiev 37%.
Jack Cartwright carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.