Jack Della Maddalena vs Kevin Holland
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-4-0Record29-15-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'3"
73"Reach81"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Scrappy MMATeamPhalanx MMA Academy
What's at stake
Jack Della Maddalena is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Kevin Holland carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1791
If they lose-18→ 1759
If they win+13→ 1749
If they lose-11→ 1725
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1743 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1740 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jack Della MaddalenaKevin Holland
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jack Della Maddalena61%
Kevin Holland 39%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Jack Della Maddalena a 61% favorite over Kevin Holland in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Jack Della Maddalena holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1777 to 1736, a 41-point edge.
Jack Della Maddalena enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jack Della Maddalena finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Holland 79%.
Jack Della Maddalena and Kevin Holland share 1 common opponent: Randy Brown.
Kevin Holland carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.