Combat Edge Intelligence

Jack Della Maddalena vs Magomed Umalatov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-4-0Record18-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
73"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Scrappy MMATeamEagles MMA· 1817 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jack Della MaddalenaNow 1777
If they win+16→ 1793
If they lose-16→ 1761
Magomed UmalatovNow 1783
If they win+16→ 1799
If they lose-16→ 1767

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1743 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
52%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
64%
Strike defense
TBD
0.16
Takedown avg.
TBD
11%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
69%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.20
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jack Della MaddalenaMagomed Umalatov
175018002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (67%)
KO/TKO
12 (67%)
2 (11%)
Submission
2 (11%)
4 (22%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Jack Della Maddalena60%
Magomed Umalatov 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Jack Della Maddalena a 60% favorite over Magomed Umalatov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Magomed Umalatov's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1777 vs 1783), separated by just 6 points.

Jack Della Maddalena enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jack Della Maddalena finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Umalatov 78%.

Magomed Umalatov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.