Jack Della Maddalena vs Pete Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-4-0Record5-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
73"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Scrappy MMATeamDominate MMA
What's at stake
Jack Della Maddalena is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Pete Rodriguez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1784
If they lose-25→ 1752
If they win+37→ 1603
If they lose-11→ 1555
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1743 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jack Della MaddalenaPete Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jack Della Maddalena87%
Pete Rodriguez 13%Elo baseline: 77%
The Combat Edge model makes Jack Della Maddalena a 87% favorite over Pete Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).
Jack Della Maddalena holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1777 to 1566, a 211-point edge.
Jack Della Maddalena enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jack Della Maddalena finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Pete Rodriguez 100%.
Jack Della Maddalena carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.