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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jack Hermansson vs Magomed Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

24-10-0Record15-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'9"
77"Reach-
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Frontline AcademyTeamKHK MMA Dagestan· 1661 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jack HermanssonNow 1732
If they win+12→ 1744
If they lose-12→ 1720
Magomed MagomedovNow 1735
If they win+16→ 1751
If they lose-16→ 1719

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1716 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.13
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
45%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
57%
Strike defense
Not available
1.50
Takedown avg.
Not available
30%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
81%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.37
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jack HermanssonMagomed Magomedov
17001750202320242025

Win method breakdown

11 (46%)
KO/TKO
5 (33%)
6 (25%)
Submission
4 (27%)
7 (29%)
Decision
6 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Jack Hermansson62%
Magomed Magomedov 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jack Hermansson a 62% favorite over Magomed Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Magomed Magomedov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1732 vs 1735), separated by just 3 points.

Jack Hermansson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Magomed Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Jack Hermansson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Magomedov 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.