Jack Hermansson vs Pawel Pawlak
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
24-10-0Record23-4-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
77"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Frontline AcademyTeamOctopus Lodz
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1743
If they lose-12→ 1719
If they win+12→ 1744
If they lose-12→ 1720
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1715 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jack HermanssonPawel Pawlak
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jack Hermansson63%
Pawel Pawlak 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jack Hermansson a 63% favorite over Pawel Pawlak in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pawel Pawlak's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1731 vs 1732), separated by just 1 points.
Jack Hermansson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Pawel Pawlak enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Jack Hermansson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Pawel Pawlak 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.