Combat Edge Intelligence

Jack Hermansson vs Ryan LaFlare

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-10-0Record14-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'1"
77"Reach42,5"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Frontline AcademyTeamLong Island MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jack HermanssonNow 1721
If they win+12→ 1733
If they lose-12→ 1709
Ryan LaFlareNow 1721
If they win+16→ 1737
If they lose-16→ 1705

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1715 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.13
Sig. strikes / min
2.89
45%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.86
57%
Strike defense
63%
1.50
Takedown avg.
2.13
30%
Takedown accuracy
45%
81%
Takedown defense
59%
0.37
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Jack HermanssonRyan LaFlare
17502016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

11 (46%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
6 (25%)
Submission
3 (21%)
7 (29%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Jack Hermansson60%
Ryan LaFlare 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jack Hermansson a 60% favorite over Ryan LaFlare in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1721 vs 1721), separated by just 0 points.

Jack Hermansson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jack Hermansson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Ryan LaFlare 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.