Jack Marshman vs John Phillips
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-0Record22-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReach75,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Tillery Combat MMA AcademyTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1632
If they lose-12→ 1608
If they win+12→ 1635
If they lose-12→ 1611
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jack MarshmanJohn Phillips
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jack Marshman56%
John Phillips 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jack Marshman a 56% favorite over John Phillips in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Phillips's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1623), separated by just 3 points.
Jack Marshman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
John Phillips enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jack Marshman finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, John Phillips 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.